Skip Navigation

Scout Archives

Home Projects Publications Archives About Sign Up or Log In


From politics to sports to market research to just about every conceivable business venture, the ability to accurately - or even semi-accurately - predict the future comes with profound benefits. It is no surprise, then, that economist David M. Rothschild's PredictWise has become so popular among pundits of all kinds. Using peer-reviewed prediction and sentiment models, Rothschild accurately predicted 50 of 51 Electoral College outcomes in February of 2012, an average of 20 of 24 Oscars from 2013 to 2015, and 15 of 15 knockout games in the 2014 World Cup. Readers may like to begin by scouting the latest political figures, which currently predict Democratic victories in both the presidential election and the upcoming Senate race. From there, scan the Sports section (as of May 12, 2016 the Chicago Cubs have a 20 percent chance of winning the world series), as well as predictions Entertainment and Economic/Financial. Readers will also find a link to Rothschild's blog, where he unpacks some of his predictions in greater detail.
Archived Scout Publication URL
Scout Publication
Date of Scout Publication
May 20th, 2016
Date Of Record Creation
May 19th, 2016 at 11:35am
Date Of Record Release
May 19th, 2016 at 12:16pm
Resource URL Clicks
Add Comment


(no comments available yet)